Questions / Quant research, Probability & inference

Uncertainty of an average

Foundation, about 6 minutes. Question R001.

Independent observations have known standard deviation 12. With 36 observations, what is the standard error of the sample mean?

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Answer: 2 units

  1. Independence makes Var(mean) equal to σ²/n. Here that is 144/36 = 4.
  2. Standard error is the square root of that variance: √4 = 2.
  3. Equivalently, σ/√n = 12/6. It describes the variability of the sample mean, not of individual observations.

Interview shortcut. Standard error of a mean is σ/√n = 12/6.

Takeaway. Average variances first, then take the square root.

In the app this has a follow-up where one thing about the setup changes. Try the follow-up.

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